I've written about the consolidation of local health care organizations over the past months. In preparing for a talk I delivered to an insurance agent's organization last month, I dug a little deeper to see what the trends seemed to be for the future.
There are some very interesting things happening to and with health care delivery and these things are, in part, already on or affecting the local scene.
Retail Medicine...
Several major corporations have experimented with and made commitments to what I'll call 'retail medicine'. Major drug store chains have had walk-in clinics in their stores, and have gotten so serious about it that they've actually purchased the companies that were supplying the services. One of those is Walgreen's and we see the result in Germantown. Our local Walgreen store is 1 of 13 in Wisconsin with in-store clinics and that number is expected to be as high as 19 by the end of 2008.
Wal-Mart is doing similar development across the country along with the CVS drug store chain and several others. These models all tend to rely upon the Nurse Practitioner and work to establish referral relationships to local physicians for the more serious conditions encountered. Costs, according to the Take Care Health Systems (Walgreen) website range from $59 to $74 per visit with additional fees charged for vaccinations (seasonal flu shot priced at $24.99).
Physician Shortages...
There are serious shortages of physicians in America and that is, in part, prompting the 'retail medicine' movement discussed above. Massachusetts learned this the hard way when it passed laws that required virtually all citizens to have health insurance. There were simply too few primary care doctors available in the state to handle the new demand that had been created. The physicians who are moving through the education system today are too often choosing specialties that pay more and that have better schedules so they can also spend time with their families and pay off their loans more quickly.
These shortages are prompting our medical colleges to step up the effort to cause more graduating physicians to opt for primary care service but this will take time and there will need to be some economic push to make it happen. This is spawning the following effort.
Nurse Doctors...
Minnesota has graduated at least one class of Nurse Doctors who are entering practice across that state. This is a doctorate level program that claims to produce practitioners that "can do almost everything" a primary care physician can do except for some surgical procedures. This program is being expanded to be able to graduate more Nurse Doctors every year as the program ramps up.
As we can all understand, the physicians' organizations are not at all happy about this movement.
Dentist Shortages...
The average age of dentists in many states, Wisconsin included, is increasing at an alarming pace and we are beginning to see a shortage of dentists. Minnesota again seems to have taken a lead position with legislation that was being considered which would permit Dental Hygienists to both drill and extract teeth in addition to their normal responsibilities.
As you would also expect in this situation, this is meeting strong resistance from the organizations representing dentists, but the simple fact that this found its way to the floor of the Minnesota legislature is significant. Minnesota has been more prone to experimentation in the general area of health care (health maintenance organizations took off very rapidly in this state in the early-1970s), so these trends aren't all that surprising in our neighbor state.
Summary...
Our health care world is changing very rapidly. If we were to become a Rip Van Winkle and sleep for even just ten years, we'd likely encounter a strange new health care world when we awoke.
Who can say what is good or not good in these regards. Time will tell which, if any, of these initiatives we will have accepted and which we will have discarded as bad ideas whose time hadn't yet arrived. Some way needs be found that will permit us to control costs. If we rely upon government to do that, I'm afraid that the consequences will be heavy-handed control and rationing of services...and I cannot find it within myself to think that is an improvement.
